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Popular
Sports
Economy and finance
Tech and science
Culture
Culture
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
86.96×
Yes
1.01×
No
$69.3M
Vol.
No
99%
Yes
1%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
Economy and finance
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps)
98%
Yes
No
1 (25 bps)
<1%
Yes
No
2 (50 bps)
<1%
Yes
No
3 (75 bps)
<1%
Yes
No
$55.9M
Vol.
+9 markets
0 (0 bps)
98%
1 (25 bps)
<1%
2 (50 bps)
<1%
3 (75 bps)
<1%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
Economy and finance
Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase
88%
Yes
No
50+ bps increase
9%
Yes
No
No change
4%
Yes
No
25 bps decrease
<1%
Yes
No
$33.7M
Vol.
+1 markets
25 bps increase
88%
50+ bps increase
9%
No change
4%
25 bps decrease
<1%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
Culture
·
Movies
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
89%
Yes
No
Avengers: Doomsday
12%
Yes
No
Wicked: For Good
<1%
Yes
No
Wuthering Heights
<1%
Yes
No
$18.6M
Vol.
+10 markets
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
89%
Avengers: Doomsday
12%
Wicked: For Good
<1%
Wuthering Heights
<1%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
Sports
·
Esports
Worlds 2026: Winner
Gen.G
63%
Yes
No
Bilibili Gaming
38%
Yes
No
T1
<1%
Yes
No
Hanwha Life Esports
<1%
Yes
No
$14.3M
Vol.
+14 markets
Gen.G
63%
Bilibili Gaming
38%
T1
0%
Hanwha Life Esports
0%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
Worlds 2026: Winner
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
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Popular
Popular
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
1%
Chance
86.96×
Yes
1.01×
No
$69.3M
Vol.
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps)
98%
Yes
No
1 (25 bps)
<1%
Yes
No
2 (50 bps)
<1%
Yes
No
$55.9M
Vol.
13 markets
Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase
88%
Yes
No
50+ bps increase
9%
Yes
No
No change
4%
Yes
No
$33.7M
Vol.
5 markets
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
89%
Yes
No
Avengers: Doomsday
12%
Yes
No
Wicked: For Good
<1%
Yes
No
$18.6M
Vol.
14 markets
Worlds 2026: Winner
Gen.G
63%
Yes
No
Bilibili Gaming
38%
Yes
No
$14.3M
Vol.
2 markets
Largest Company end of December 2026?
Apple
91%
Yes
No
NVIDIA
8%
Yes
No
Alphabet
<1%
Yes
No
$10.7M
Vol.
8 markets
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Google
75%
Yes
No
Anthropic
21%
Yes
No
OpenAI
3%
Yes
No
$4.3M
Vol.
15 markets
Fed rate cut by...?
July 2027 Meeting
49%
Yes
No
April 2027 Meeting
28%
Yes
No
June 2027 Meeting
28%
Yes
No
$3.9M
Vol.
6 markets
AI bubble burst by...?
June 30, 2027
18%
Yes
No
December 31, 2026
9%
Yes
No
$3.9M
Vol.
2 markets
Fed Decision in January?
25 bps increase
57%
Yes
No
No change
42%
Yes
No
50+ bps increase
1%
Yes
No
$3.4M
Vol.
5 markets
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
Both Teams Slay a Dragon
72%
Yes
No
Both Teams Slay a Dragon
72%
Yes
No
Both Teams Slay a Dragon
72%
Yes
No
$3.2M
Vol.
47 markets
Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?
December 31, 2029
21%
Yes
No
December 31, 2028
17%
Yes
No
December 31, 2027
8%
Yes
No
$2.9M
Vol.
3 markets
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday
71%
Yes
No
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
28%
Yes
No
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Yes
No
$2.8M
Vol.
4 markets
US recession by end of 2026?
2%
Chance
44.44×
Yes
1.02×
No
$2.5M
Vol.
Worlds 2026 Winning Region
LCK (South Korea)
62%
Yes
No
LPL (China)
38%
Yes
No
$2.1M
Vol.
2 markets
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
97%
Chance
1.03×
Yes
30.77×
No
$2M
Vol.
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
December 31, 2027
88%
Yes
No
June 30, 2027
75%
Yes
No
February 28, 2027
58%
Yes
No
$1.8M
Vol.
5 markets
Which company has the best AI model end of November?
Google
88%
Yes
No
Anthropic
10%
Yes
No
OpenAI
1%
Yes
No
$1.5M
Vol.
21 markets
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
December 31, 2027
50%
Yes
No
December 31, 2026
8%
Yes
No
$1.3M
Vol.
2 markets
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
1%
Chance
80×
Yes
1.01×
No
$1.2M
Vol.
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.3%
47%
Yes
No
5.4%
23%
Yes
No
5.5%
14%
Yes
No
$1.2M
Vol.
5 markets
GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?
December 31
98%
Yes
No
December 15
98%
Yes
No
November 30
86%
Yes
No
$1.2M
Vol.
4 markets
Jensen Huang divorce by...?
March 31, 2027
28%
Yes
No
December 31, 2026
14%
Yes
No
$976.4K
Vol.
2 markets
China Annual GDP Growth 2026
4.0–5.0%
96%
Yes
No
5.0–6.0%
2%
Yes
No
3.0–4.0%
1%
Yes
No
$949.4K
Vol.
10 markets
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner
The Odyssey
53%
Yes
No
You Can See Everything
23%
Yes
No
La Bola Negra
10%
Yes
No
$893.3K
Vol.
27 markets
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
Hike–Pause–Hike
96%
Yes
No
Hike–Pause–Pause
3%
Yes
No
Other
<1%
Yes
No
$737.1K
Vol.
3 markets
Which CEOs will be out before 2027?
Brian Armstrong - Coinbase
5%
Yes
No
Andy Jassy - Amazon
4%
Yes
No
Sundar Pichai - Google
4%
Yes
No
$728.5K
Vol.
5 markets
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
5.0%
2%
Yes
No
10.0%
2%
Yes
No
7.0%
2%
Yes
No
$599.6K
Vol.
5 markets
Jensen Huang rejoins NVIDIA by...?
December 31, 2027
30%
Yes
No
December 31, 2026
10%
Yes
No
November 30, 2026
6%
Yes
No
$533K
Vol.
3 markets
#1 Searched Person on Google 2026?
Jensen Huang
42%
Yes
No
Lindsay Clancy
16%
Yes
No
Erling Haaland
5%
Yes
No
$513.7K
Vol.
47 markets
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 4.55%
33%
Yes
No
Below 4.50%
28%
Yes
No
Below 4.40%
20%
Yes
No
$499.9K
Vol.
10 markets
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
Clip-on device for clothing
9%
Yes
No
Earbuds/Headphones
7%
Yes
No
Watch
6%
Yes
No
$482.1K
Vol.
10 markets
TIME Person of the Year 2026
Zohran Mamdani
21%
Yes
No
James Talarico
18%
Yes
No
Abdul El-Sayed
16%
Yes
No
$449.1K
Vol.
30 markets
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday
73%
Yes
No
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
27%
Yes
No
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Yes
No
$429.6K
Vol.
4 markets
Largest Company end of November 2026?
Apple
97%
Yes
No
NVIDIA
3%
Yes
No
Microsoft
<1%
Yes
No
$405.7K
Vol.
11 markets
Worlds 2026: Finals MVP
Chovy
23%
Yes
No
Canyon
21%
Yes
No
Knight
18%
Yes
No
$399.9K
Vol.
52 markets
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